Rosa Del Mar

Issue 9 2026-01-09

Rosa Del Mar

Daily Brief

Issue 9 2026-01-09

New revenue streams are described as incremental and not inherently dependent on token emissions

Issue 9 Edition 2026-01-09 8 min read
General
Sources: 1 • Confidence: Medium • Updated: 2026-02-06 16:59

Key takeaways

  • New revenue streams are described as incremental and not inherently dependent on token emissions, instead increasing net rewards capacity and the utility of emissions.
  • Traders route through whichever interface provides the best rate, so maintaining sufficient liquidity is described as the core determinant of winning DEX flow quickly.
  • Fluid has not meaningfully reduced Uniswap’s mainnet fee share and mainly gained volume share by charging very low fees on stable swaps that generate little value.
  • Arrow is considering charging an additional fee for cross-chain aggregation in meta swaps and redirecting proceeds back to the token and liquidity incentives.
  • Metadex is targeted for Q2 with development underway, and the main timing dependency is audits.

Sections

New Value-Capture Engines (Earn/Rev, Emissions Efficiency)

Multiple mechanisms are asserted to increase net value returned: internalizing new revenue sources, dynamically allocating emissions, and targeting net-positive economics. Quantified claims are included (2.8x backtested increase; Q4 net revenue-to-token exceeding emissions; possibility of deflationary dynamics), but the corpus does not provide methodology or on-chain verification. The repeated bottleneck is measurement and verification of net value capture versus emission cost.

  • New revenue streams are described as incremental and not inherently dependent on token emissions, instead increasing net rewards capacity and the utility of emissions.
  • MetaDEX03 introduces an Earn Engine and a Rev Engine intended to internalize new revenue sources such as aggregator fees and MEV and dynamically allocate emissions to increase net value returned to the system.
  • In Q4, Aerodrome returned more revenue to the token than it emitted, and the current annualized inflation rate is about 10%.
  • Backtesting presented by the CFO indicates that over the past year the protocol generated more net value inflow than the cost of token emissions, even when emissions were well above 10%.
  • The Air engine is designed to calculate, per pool, the minimum emissions premium over fee-only DEX returns needed to beat Uniswap while avoiding over-emitting by multiples.
  • Based on internal backtesting, the Earn/Rev Engine changes are estimated to produce about a 2.8x net increase in value flowing back into the system.

Market-Microstructure And Routed Orderflow Acquisition

The deltas emphasize that most DEX flow is routed/programmatic and that quote competitiveness driven by liquidity depth determines routing outcomes. Mechanisms presented to win this flow include dynamic fees, preferred fee rates for identified flow sources, and MEV internalization via an AMM-level auction. The high-signal shift is treating orderflow capture and MEV capture as first-class revenue levers rather than relying mainly on emissions.

  • Traders route through whichever interface provides the best rate, so maintaining sufficient liquidity is described as the core determinant of winning DEX flow quickly.
  • Slipstream v3 plans to add preferred fee rates for identifiable non-toxic flow sources to win organic orderflow share.
  • MEV internalization is planned as part of the Slipstream v3 launch via an AMM-level MEV auction, targeting a revenue pool claimed to exceed Aerodrome and Velodrome’s combined prior-year revenue.
  • A typical DEX flow split is about 10–20% via the front end and the rest from aggregators or programmatic traffic hitting contracts or routers directly.
  • Dynamic fees and payment-for-order-flow style rebates can help win more of the programmatic share of DEX flow by offering better rates tied to flow origin.
  • Slipstream concentrates incentives on active-tick liquidity and uses dynamic fees that surge with volatility to keep liquidity sticky and improve competitiveness versus fee-only AMMs.

Competitive Positioning And Contested Interpretations Of Share

The corpus contains strong comparative performance assertions against Uniswap and expectations of mainnet share capture, plus a specific multi-metric lens (TVL/volume/fees/revenue). It also contains disputes that competitor volume gains (Fluid on mainnet; PancakeSwap on Base) do not translate into meaningful fee/value capture. These deltas shift emphasis from raw volume to fee/revenue share, but remain unverified within the corpus.

  • Fluid has not meaningfully reduced Uniswap’s mainnet fee share and mainly gained volume share by charging very low fees on stable swaps that generate little value.
  • Slipstream v2 is claimed to outperform Uniswap v2/v3/v4 combined by about 3:1 in head-to-head competitive environments.
  • Metadex O2 has been tested against Uniswap across roughly six to seven chains and is claimed to win a dominant share in almost all conditions.
  • DEX winning should be evaluated jointly across TVL, volume, fees, and revenue rather than any single metric in isolation.
  • PancakeSwap’s Base volume growth is largely from incentivizing pairs that do not generate meaningful fees, making it less strategically threatening on value capture.
  • Deploying the same Metadex model to Ethereum mainnet, combined with Metadex O3 upgrades, is expected to capture a significant amount of mainnet DEX share.

Cross-Chain Abstraction As A New Product Surface (Meta Swaps)

The corpus asserts a bundled aggregator+bridge product that abstracts bridging and gas management while still requiring users to pay bridge fees. It also asserts rapid multi-chain deployability due to minimal centralized infrastructure dependencies. A key unresolved item is whether an additional meta-swaps fee will be charged and how that impacts competitiveness after accounting for bridge fees, slippage, and execution quality.

  • Arrow is considering charging an additional fee for cross-chain aggregation in meta swaps and redirecting proceeds back to the token and liquidity incentives.
  • Meta swaps is planned to be available on day one anywhere Arrow is deployed, including the OP Superchain, Base, Ethereum mainnet, Circle’s Arc, and Syndicate’s chain.
  • Meta swaps will integrate with multiple bridge solutions including Circle’s solution, LayerZero, and Hyperlane, and users will still face bridge fees even if the workflow is abstracted in the UI.
  • Meta swaps is a bundled cross-chain swapper that combines aggregator and bridging functionality into a single user flow so users can trade without manually bridging or managing gas across chains.
  • Arrow claims it can scale deployments to additional chains at near-zero marginal cost because its dapp does not rely on centralized APIs or servers and the frontend reads from on-chain data.

Protocol Unification And Ethereum Mainnet Expansion

The deltas describe a consolidation of two existing protocols into Arrow with an explicit Ethereum mainnet expansion framing and a Q2 target gated by audits. The initial distribution mechanism is tied to historical revenue split, which is positioned as reducing perceived dilution or reallocation risk. The main uncertainty is execution and timing rather than whether the plan exists.

  • Metadex is targeted for Q2 with development underway, and the main timing dependency is audits.
  • The initial ARROW/veARROW distribution is benchmarked to the past-year revenue split of Aerodrome and Velodrome.
  • Velodrome and Aerodrome are being unified under a single brand and ecosystem called Arrow to support expansion to Ethereum mainnet and connect liquidity across Ethereum.
  • Arrow expects tokenholders to benefit from a larger total rewards pool by expanding beyond the combined protocols' current coverage of about one-fifth of total EVM volumes.

Watchlist

  • Arrow is considering charging an additional fee for cross-chain aggregation in meta swaps and redirecting proceeds back to the token and liquidity incentives.
  • Metadex is targeted for Q2 with development underway, and the main timing dependency is audits.
  • The speaker recommends reviewing two external talks for substantiation: the CFO’s New York event backtesting presentation and Jonas from Wintermute Ventures discussing rational incentive behavior.
  • A timeline for 'Metadex' is explicitly requested but not answered in this excerpt, implying an upcoming roadmap clarification is pending.

Unknowns

  • What are the final ARROW/veARROW distribution tables, and do they exactly match the stated revenue-based benchmarking rule?
  • What is the precise definition and methodology behind the claimed 3:1 performance outperformance and the multi-chain dominance claims versus Uniswap?
  • What is the planned meta-swaps fee schedule (if any), and what are the realized all-in user costs after bridge fees, slippage, and any additional platform fees?
  • Does Arrow’s near-zero marginal cost deployment claim hold in practice when adding new chains (time-to-launch, incident frequency, and operational overhead)?
  • What are the measured post-upgrade net value flows (protocol revenue captured versus token emissions) and do they approach the stated 2.8x backtested improvement?

Investor overlay

Read-throughs

  • Incremental non emission dependent revenue sources could raise net rewards capacity and reduce reliance on token emissions, potentially improving emissions efficiency if realized and measurable.
  • Orderflow capture framed as liquidity depth plus dynamic fees and MEV internalization may shift value capture from volume to fee and revenue share, assuming routing improves with better quotes.
  • Meta swaps and cross chain abstraction could create a new fee surface if an added aggregation fee is implemented without degrading all in user costs versus competitors.

What would confirm

  • Post upgrade reporting that cleanly separates protocol revenue captured from token emissions and shows sustained net positive economics relative to emissions, consistent with stated backtested improvements.
  • Observable increase in fee and revenue share on targeted venues alongside maintained or improving routed volume, consistent with liquidity driven quote competitiveness rather than subsidized volume.
  • Published meta swaps fee schedule and measured all in user costs including bridge fees and slippage that remain competitive while generating incremental protocol revenue directed to token or liquidity incentives.

What would kill

  • On chain or audited data shows protocol revenue captured does not consistently exceed emissions, or net value flows are materially below claimed improvements after upgrades.
  • Liquidity depth does not improve enough to win routing, leaving volume and fee share flat or declining despite dynamic fee and MEV initiatives.
  • Meta swaps introduces fees or execution frictions that raise all in user costs versus alternatives, leading to low adoption and no meaningful incremental revenue.

Sources